McLeodgaming Mafia XI [Pick Your Poison]
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TOWK
Site Moderator
Joined: Fri Aug 10, 2012 2:12 pm Posts: 1226 Country:
Gender: Male
Currently Playing: Dota 2, BoI: Rebirth, Fallout 4, Bloodborne, MGSV
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Alright, I actually managed to get time to post this during school. I don't have much time to post it, so I'll make this short and to the point.
I think 194 and Terra are our final scum.
I know Deph, we're all thought 194 is town for a long time. I'm thinking he's just extremely good at blending in now. My first point is Lucina's final words. He said his partner was online and could have quickhammered, and I know he isn't talking about terra because terra only posts very late into the night (at least where i am). 135 posted the unvote at around 6 PM EST. I also know that I used to see 194 browsing the game for hours at a time, probably left his computer on or something. Lucina probably thought he was on and ready to hammer, but he wasn't actually there. My second point is that, well, I'm posting this. It's been over 48 hours since I voted 194 and this game is still going. That's more than enough time to hammer a townie and win the game for the scum. I even said I was V/LA, so the scum would recognize I wouldn't unvote and they could win. Graphyte and Terra both posting their V/LA post pretty close to each other shows that they have had the chance to end this.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 8:27 am |
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TOWK
Site Moderator
Joined: Fri Aug 10, 2012 2:12 pm Posts: 1226 Country:
Gender: Male
Currently Playing: Dota 2, BoI: Rebirth, Fallout 4, Bloodborne, MGSV
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Ugh, my phone is making me split this in two.
A few final words. I think in last nights scum chat 194 told Terra he was going to sacrifice him, to look town on the final day and easily lynch the remaining player (probably cactus). Cactus seems town to me from the few posts he made. He's had a generally very calm tone under pressure.
Deph, what do you think of this?
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 8:30 am |
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Ikuyo
Joined: Sun Nov 01, 2009 10:01 am Posts: 865 Country:
Gender: Female
MGN Username: 194
Currently Playing: most likely Celeste
Waifu: Curly Brace
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I liked your post overall, excepting this part. Under current conditions, trying to "sacrifice" a supposed partner would make no sense. Why you may ask? Because you have claimed Jailkeeper. Let's assume, for the purposes of this example, that you are right, and Terra is my scumbuddy. If I get him lynched, knowing you, you could have just jailkept me using the same reasoning from last night (he has been towntelling: we do not want him to be killed nor we want him killing anyone). In fact, jailkeeping me would have instantly revealed who is scum: if there was no kill, I would have to be scum, as Cactuscum would have tried to go for the JK. If there was no kill, the most likely scenario would be me being scum (there's the possibility of Cactus knowing this situation and intentionally not killing, but I won't work with that). In any case, Day 5 would start then with 4 players and you knowing who is the last scum, and, under this hypothesis, knowing that I am the last scum member. Wouldn't that be my instant loss? I think you are trying too hard to get me on the scum team, and that bias prevents you from noticing the most likely chance: Terra and Cactus are the scum team. I can't say you have scum intentions on this, however.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 3:36 pm |
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TOWK
Site Moderator
Joined: Fri Aug 10, 2012 2:12 pm Posts: 1226 Country:
Gender: Male
Currently Playing: Dota 2, BoI: Rebirth, Fallout 4, Bloodborne, MGSV
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Hm... You make some good points. To be honest, bias is in this a little. The main point behind the post was, if I die tonight, Deph wouldn't completely ignore you. As he pointed out, you statistically have a 33% chance of being scum. But you pointing all of that out is a pretty good town read. Since we're all on Terra, I think he may be the safer lynch tonight. By lynching him I think we have the best chance of a scumlynch today. I'll try my best to get some evidence tonight. Is everyone OK with me hammering Terra (he is at L-1, right?)? Oh, and I read this in the completely wrong way.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 4:23 pm |
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Dephius
Joined: Sat Feb 13, 2010 10:46 pm Posts: 1883 Country:
Gender: Male
Skype: dephius2122
Currently Playing: Dota 2, CSGO, MGSV
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You two have thought of it all. I've had my suspicions of Terra from Day one. Go ahead and hammer.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 4:39 pm |
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Ikuyo
Joined: Sun Nov 01, 2009 10:01 am Posts: 865 Country:
Gender: Female
MGN Username: 194
Currently Playing: most likely Celeste
Waifu: Curly Brace
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I'm not sure about current votes. Void, please enlighten our road with a vote count.
_________________Avatar and signature pics by Semicolon.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 4:47 pm |
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Dephius
Joined: Sat Feb 13, 2010 10:46 pm Posts: 1883 Country:
Gender: Male
Skype: dephius2122
Currently Playing: Dota 2, CSGO, MGSV
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I have a vote on Terra, TOWK has a vote on you, but that'll change. And if you're voting Terra than TOWK will come in and hammer.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 4:59 pm |
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Ikuyo
Joined: Sun Nov 01, 2009 10:01 am Posts: 865 Country:
Gender: Female
MGN Username: 194
Currently Playing: most likely Celeste
Waifu: Curly Brace
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I think I can agree:
Vote: Terra.
TOWK, it's all yours.
_________________Avatar and signature pics by Semicolon.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 5:06 pm |
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TOWK
Site Moderator
Joined: Fri Aug 10, 2012 2:12 pm Posts: 1226 Country:
Gender: Male
Currently Playing: Dota 2, BoI: Rebirth, Fallout 4, Bloodborne, MGSV
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I actually just went back and found out he was at L-1. So yeah, here we go. Vote: Terra In advance 194, if Terra is town and you completely played us, f*** bravo sir.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 5:11 pm |
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Dephius
Joined: Sat Feb 13, 2010 10:46 pm Posts: 1883 Country:
Gender: Male
Skype: dephius2122
Currently Playing: Dota 2, CSGO, MGSV
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We're all pretty sure he's scum. I'm sure it's fine.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 5:13 pm |
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Dephius
Joined: Sat Feb 13, 2010 10:46 pm Posts: 1883 Country:
Gender: Male
Skype: dephius2122
Currently Playing: Dota 2, CSGO, MGSV
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It's pretty much LyLo. 194 were we right?
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 5:19 pm |
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Ikuyo
Joined: Sun Nov 01, 2009 10:01 am Posts: 865 Country:
Gender: Female
MGN Username: 194
Currently Playing: most likely Celeste
Waifu: Curly Brace
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This one was MyLo. It wasn't Lylo because there is a JK.
Also, next day can be either Lylo and Mylo, or a 4-player situation with a JK, which is pretty much guaranteed victory for the Town.
_________________Avatar and signature pics by Semicolon.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 5:22 pm |
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Dephius
Joined: Sat Feb 13, 2010 10:46 pm Posts: 1883 Country:
Gender: Male
Skype: dephius2122
Currently Playing: Dota 2, CSGO, MGSV
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The next day might take a while, Cactus is V/LA
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 5:35 pm |
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Faceless Void
Site Moderator
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 4:36 pm Posts: 2788 Country:
Gender: Male
Currently Playing: sports
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Terra, the Mafia Scum, has been lynched
Vote count: Terra: Dephius, 194, TOWK
NIGHT 4 BEGINS.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 7:20 pm |
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Faceless Void
Site Moderator
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 4:36 pm Posts: 2788 Country:
Gender: Male
Currently Playing: sports
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TheOneWhoKnocks, the Jailer, has been killed.
With 3 alive, you need 2 votes to lynch.
DAY 5 START.
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Mon Sep 24, 2012 11:03 pm |
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