MG Micro Mafia 1: 5P Venge (Mafia Victory)
Author |
Message |
Ikuyo
Joined: Sun Nov 01, 2009 10:01 am Posts: 865 Country:
Gender: Female
MGN Username: 194
Currently Playing: most likely Celeste
Waifu: Curly Brace
|
Some other comments about why no-lynching now is an awful idea:
First, Day 1 is essential to gather information on the players, as it's the one day where we get unadultered, closer to "true" data from their opinions and playstyles. As such, ending it early is a terrible idea, since we're not likely to get much information in later days.
Second, this is the only day where we can get a vengekill if we lynch town. Therefore, even if we wanted to end this day quick, we're much better off doing it by actually lynching someone rather than no lynching. There are 2 Mafia members in the setup, with one of them being a godfather.
Chances of strking town in a random lynch is 60%, chance of striking a goon are 20%, chances of striking Godfather (WINNING THE GAME) are 20%. If we hit the goon, we get to Day 2 with 3 players and 1 scum, greatly improving our situation and giving us time to better detect godfather based on info from Day 1. If we hit town, he has 50% random chance of hitting scum with the vengekill, which would, again, give us valuble info for Day 2 LyLo. Remember these numbers can be improved via reading the information we collect today and lynching at the end of the day.
_________________Avatar and signature pics by Semicolon.
|
Sat Oct 03, 2015 8:44 pm |
|
 |
Terra
Joined: Sun Mar 04, 2012 8:49 am Posts: 1126 Location: GMT+8. Have fun figuring out the rest.
Gender: Male
Skype: Ask and ye shall receive.
Currently Playing: FE6-8, Radiant Historia, TWEWY
|
VC incoming.
Votecount 1.0 Voting mage-194 Voting No Lynch-YoshisWoolyWorld, mage Not voting-kittenpuncher, TSF|Corvid With 5 alive, it takes 3 votes to lynch. The deadline is on the 9th of October, 9:44pm at UTC-5.
In the event of a no lynch, the person with the most votes at the lynch scene will be lynched: if there are no votes at lynch scene, I will track back to find the last vote removed, then lynch them automatically.
_________________"With many sighs, they got up, and I followed, for what better way to spend the last week of your life than by watching humanity go about its usual failures?" Sig courtesy of Arthur: eternally grateful.
|
Sat Oct 03, 2015 10:59 pm |
|
 |
Kittenpuncher
Joined: Sat Oct 11, 2008 9:16 pm Posts: 12685 Country:
Gender: Male
Waifu: I'm married
|
hmmm vote 194
_________________ Meow /l、 ゙(゚、 。 7 l、゙ ~ヽ じしf_, )ノ
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 12:00 am |
|
 |
Corvid Crow
Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2015 5:15 am Posts: 569 Location: Afairica Country:
Gender: Male
MGN Username: Corvid_Crow
Skype: AUS_Corvid
Currently Playing: With nice hens out there...
|
You've got to bold it dude, like this: Vote: mage, as you've made a bit of a hasty decision, to avoid lynching the Godfather (aka INSTA WIN) without much thought.
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 12:14 am |
|
 |
TSF.Strife
BR Member
Joined: Tue Jul 29, 2014 2:58 pm Posts: 1838 Location: Everywhere and Nowhere Country:
Gender: Male
MGN Username: CSWooly
Skype: CSWooly
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Fates: Birthright, SSF2, SSB4, League of Legends.
|
Ok, I'm going to just going to unvote. I have to say, voting without actually giving a reason why does seem very suspicious. It seems that I actually need to vote for someone, otherwise we get lynched. I'm just going to give a limited breakdown of what I know so far, which is very little: I'm suspecting Corvid of potential scum predominantly because bandwagoning. Firstly, Corvid says: But then immediately hops onto the mage bandwagon. Seems kinda suspicious. So here our the possible outcomes for lynching mage: 1. Mage is town, and he vengekills a goon. We move onto day 2 with more information, however we are likely restricted from gaining new information. 2. Mage is town, and he vengekills a godfather. Same result as before. 3. Mage is town, and he vengekills a civilian. It's likely we lose after this as there will be more Mafia then town. 4. Mage is the goon. See 1 and 2. 5. Mage is the godfather. We win. Ok, now for some stats. We have an 30% chance for Outcome 3 - Worst case scenario to happen. The other 30% involves vengekilling Mafia. So, I've unvoted. But I feel it's critical for us to gather information at this stage in the game so we lesson our chances of Outcome 3 happening. [How many votes does it take to hammer someone again? I assume 3]
_________________Follow me on Twitter here.Youtube channel.
Click to expand thumbnailSSF2 Backroom Character Analyst and Labber Mains: :lucario: 
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 1:45 am |
|
 |
Terra
Joined: Sun Mar 04, 2012 8:49 am Posts: 1126 Location: GMT+8. Have fun figuring out the rest.
Gender: Male
Skype: Ask and ye shall receive.
Currently Playing: FE6-8, Radiant Historia, TWEWY
|
@kp: I'll accept the vote this time but next time please bold your vote, thanks. ~~~~ Votecount 1.1 Voting mage-194, TSF|Corvid Voting 194-kittenpuncher Voting No Lynch-mage Not voting-YoshisWoolyWorld With 5 alive, it takes 3 votes to lynch. The deadline is on the 9th of October, 9:44pm at UTC-5.
_________________"With many sighs, they got up, and I followed, for what better way to spend the last week of your life than by watching humanity go about its usual failures?" Sig courtesy of Arthur: eternally grateful.
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 4:02 am |
|
 |
TSF.Strife
BR Member
Joined: Tue Jul 29, 2014 2:58 pm Posts: 1838 Location: Everywhere and Nowhere Country:
Gender: Male
MGN Username: CSWooly
Skype: CSWooly
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Fates: Birthright, SSF2, SSB4, League of Legends.
|
Ok, I'm gonna ask if anyone is around, because this topic is pretty dead.
_________________Follow me on Twitter here.Youtube channel.
Click to expand thumbnailSSF2 Backroom Character Analyst and Labber Mains: :lucario: 
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 2:23 pm |
|
 |
Ikuyo
Joined: Sun Nov 01, 2009 10:01 am Posts: 865 Country:
Gender: Female
MGN Username: 194
Currently Playing: most likely Celeste
Waifu: Curly Brace
|
Wait, what? We've had answers. Furthermore, requests of content with no content will be answered with more non content.
Do you mind explaining your vote KP?
_________________Avatar and signature pics by Semicolon.
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 2:26 pm |
|
 |
Kittenpuncher
Joined: Sat Oct 11, 2008 9:16 pm Posts: 12685 Country:
Gender: Male
Waifu: I'm married
|
oops I meant to vote for mage
_________________ Meow /l、 ゙(゚、 。 7 l、゙ ~ヽ じしf_, )ノ
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 3:20 pm |
|
 |
TSF.Strife
BR Member
Joined: Tue Jul 29, 2014 2:58 pm Posts: 1838 Location: Everywhere and Nowhere Country:
Gender: Male
MGN Username: CSWooly
Skype: CSWooly
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Fates: Birthright, SSF2, SSB4, League of Legends.
|
You can change your vote.
However, I feel mage being lynched is inevitable now, so I may just change mine now.
Vote: mage
_________________Follow me on Twitter here.Youtube channel.
Click to expand thumbnailSSF2 Backroom Character Analyst and Labber Mains: :lucario: 
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 4:09 pm |
|
 |
Mage
Joined: Thu Oct 17, 2013 11:28 pm Posts: 900 Location: Dystopia and the "Expansion" Speculation forums. Country:
Gender: Anime Girl
MGN Username: gamingmage
Currently Playing: ao2
|
Why not, Change vote: MAGE
_________________Discord ID: #6110 (If you want to question something about me more quickly then on the forums, or if you have beef with me) Mains: Secondaries:  Awesome Images in Sig and avatar made by Ssf2 Dev Steven 
Click to expand thumbnail
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 4:20 pm |
|
 |
Ikuyo
Joined: Sun Nov 01, 2009 10:01 am Posts: 865 Country:
Gender: Female
MGN Username: 194
Currently Playing: most likely Celeste
Waifu: Curly Brace
|
wait, WHAT? I've neven seen such a badly obvious attempt at bandwagoning. Vote: Yoshi'sWoolyWorld
_________________Avatar and signature pics by Semicolon.
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 5:21 pm |
|
 |
Ikuyo
Joined: Sun Nov 01, 2009 10:01 am Posts: 865 Country:
Gender: Female
MGN Username: 194
Currently Playing: most likely Celeste
Waifu: Curly Brace
|
Also, mage, please don't give up. Keep fighting. That's what we need from town, a true deisre to stand in game and find a way to survive, and to find the elusive truth.
I'm going to let it slide because it's your first time playing, but please, NEVER EVER voute yourself. It helps no one but the Mafia.
_________________Avatar and signature pics by Semicolon.
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 5:25 pm |
|
 |
Mage
Joined: Thu Oct 17, 2013 11:28 pm Posts: 900 Location: Dystopia and the "Expansion" Speculation forums. Country:
Gender: Anime Girl
MGN Username: gamingmage
Currently Playing: ao2
|
Change vote thrice: Yoshi'sWoolyWorld im not a vocal person in mafia town, mafia, or otherwise, but since the no lyncher has changed to lynch me might as well attempt to live.
_________________Discord ID: #6110 (If you want to question something about me more quickly then on the forums, or if you have beef with me) Mains: Secondaries:  Awesome Images in Sig and avatar made by Ssf2 Dev Steven 
Click to expand thumbnail
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 5:34 pm |
|
 |
Ikuyo
Joined: Sun Nov 01, 2009 10:01 am Posts: 865 Country:
Gender: Female
MGN Username: 194
Currently Playing: most likely Celeste
Waifu: Curly Brace
|
Just to make abosultely sure, do not hammer now. If you want to hammer, state why, and wait at least 24 hours.
Yoshi has to defend himself first.
_________________Avatar and signature pics by Semicolon.
|
Sun Oct 04, 2015 5:41 pm |
|
|
Who is online |
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest |
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot post attachments in this forum
|
|