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Gold
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2008 3:10 am Posts: 2601 Location: Australia - Sydney
Gender: Male
Currently Playing: Ninja Gaiden III
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I'd say that, since no one is willing to share their information, we are in exactly the same situation we were in 'yesterday' and, like 'yesterday', we should spend the day not lynching anyone. It's almost as if 'today' was the first day, but people who can watch others' evening activities have more information than they would otherwise. The upcoming evening could possibly give the mafia a further advantage (in fact, it quite probably will), but we have nothing in our favour, no information (unless someone wants to share....?) and no role list (which would still be useless to us in our current situation). Statistically speaking, there is a probability that we'd get a mafia member, but there's a higher chance of us not (based on the fact that there are less than 7 mafia members). We don't want the mafia to have a greater advantage than that which they would have already.
Also, just something I worked out Probability of beneficiary from the last evening: [(Number of town members)]/7 Probability of mafia beneficiary from the last evening: (Number mafia members)/16
This is just based on the giant potential role list in the first post. Without the role list, making strategies is harder as we don't know how many mafia members there are (yeah, role list's definitely a good thing). But regardless of the number of mafia members (since we know that at the present there are more of us than mafia members) we still benefitted from last night. It would be awesome if we know what was discovered.
tldr (for lazy people): We probably got an advantage 'last night', but I say get the day over with, so the evening can be finished, so that we can start the game properly. If you have information, let us know unless you have good reason not to.
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 2:22 am |
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Tid
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2009 6:02 pm Posts: 7283 Location: Australia Country:
Gender: Male
MGN Username: Tid
Currently Playing: Deep™ The™ Game™
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No, chances are we got "lucky" last night. Whoever they tried to kill was probably a Bulletproof or protected by Doctor or Bodyguard or something.
_________________Ask me anything!!! Special thanks to Steven for my beautiful Deep avatar! <3
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 3:19 am |
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Dark Ermac
BR Member
Joined: Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:36 pm Posts: 1222 Location: The wonderful world of... someplace that isn't on fire. Country:
Gender: Male
MGN Username: Dark Ermac
Skype: dark_ermac
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Couldn't be a bodyguard, because there would've been a death.
I'll vote: role list as well.
_________________Swinging a chain, swinging a chain...
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 9:43 am |
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maxmatsu
Joined: Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:19 pm Posts: 2682
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I'm about to keep up with the topic, since my internet went off for the weekend. Sorry I wasn't here.
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 5:09 pm |
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maxmatsu
Joined: Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:19 pm Posts: 2682
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1st vote:
Elipsiser - 1 (War P. Anda) No Lynch - 5 (Elipsiser, Kyuubit, Genis Potter, Tid, Weavile)
Not Voting - 7 (DarkSonicTH, Believeblood, Nobody, JasonGuy299, Blitz, Dark Ermac, Brikmaethor)
With 13 alive, it takes 7 to lynch.
And a role list will be posted after the next kill, like planned. Kind of.
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 6:47 pm |
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Gookclicker
Joined: Mon Sep 29, 2008 7:36 pm Posts: 2563 Location: ┐('~`;)┌
Gender: Anime Girl
Currently Playing: SC2, SSBB (4168-0287-1402)
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No lynch
_________________Adopted by Shounic
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 7:30 pm |
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Savvy, eh?
BR Member
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2010 12:03 am Posts: 752 Location: Rising up to become the one they all fear. Country:
Gender: Anime Girl
MGN Username: Savvy, eh?
Currently Playing: Savvy's Art Academy
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Well. I'm not exactly sure what to do with this. We either random lynch, which is likely to lead to a townie death, or we forgo a lynching once more and let the mafia kill someone so we can have a role-list. Since there must obviously be more townies than mafia, and we have no information to go on, I don't see lynching as a safe choice. Better one death than two. Vote: No-lynch.
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 10:17 pm |
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Blood
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 1:49 pm Posts: 594 Location: ???????????????
Gender: Male
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Sitting around like ducks so the mafia can kill us at night isn't good either.
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 10:53 pm |
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Gookclicker
Joined: Mon Sep 29, 2008 7:36 pm Posts: 2563 Location: ┐('~`;)┌
Gender: Anime Girl
Currently Playing: SC2, SSBB (4168-0287-1402)
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Let's assume we guess completely randomly. 1/3rd of the group is mafia. Therefore we have a 1/3rd chance of it helping us, and a 2/3rds chance of just killing a townie. Therefore, we should not just randomly guess. What you're proposing is a retarded way to continue.
_________________Adopted by Shounic
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 11:04 pm |
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Blood
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 1:49 pm Posts: 594 Location: ???????????????
Gender: Male
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I'm not proposing to lych. I just think it's a good idea to at least get some information out of people before seven people vote no-lych and we enter night time. I mean if things keep on going like this then no information will ever be revealed. Random voteing is actually one of the best ways to get information out of people even if we're not completely serious.
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 11:13 pm |
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Dark Ermac
BR Member
Joined: Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:36 pm Posts: 1222 Location: The wonderful world of... someplace that isn't on fire. Country:
Gender: Male
MGN Username: Dark Ermac
Skype: dark_ermac
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COMMENCE WITH THE NIGHT!
No lynch
_________________Swinging a chain, swinging a chain...
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 11:44 pm |
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Gookclicker
Joined: Mon Sep 29, 2008 7:36 pm Posts: 2563 Location: ┐('~`;)┌
Gender: Anime Girl
Currently Playing: SC2, SSBB (4168-0287-1402)
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Why would any mafia be stupid enough to reveal anything if you've already stated outright your intentions to trick them?
_________________Adopted by Shounic
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Mon Nov 08, 2010 11:53 pm |
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Dark Ermac
BR Member
Joined: Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:36 pm Posts: 1222 Location: The wonderful world of... someplace that isn't on fire. Country:
Gender: Male
MGN Username: Dark Ermac
Skype: dark_ermac
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He's obviously mafia because only evil people reveal all of their plans.
_________________Swinging a chain, swinging a chain...
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Tue Nov 09, 2010 12:07 pm |
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Gold
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2008 3:10 am Posts: 2601 Location: Australia - Sydney
Gender: Male
Currently Playing: Ninja Gaiden III
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Or people with nothing to fear, or stupid people. I'm thinking about the fool.
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Tue Nov 09, 2010 3:46 pm |
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Blood
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 1:49 pm Posts: 594 Location: ???????????????
Gender: Male
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Okay fine do whatever you want, but when the town loses don't blame me. ( unless your a mafia or third party player.)
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Tue Nov 09, 2010 6:05 pm |
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