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McLeodGaming Mafia II [Town vs Mafia] 
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         I'd say that, since no one is willing to share their information, we are in exactly the same situation we were in 'yesterday' and, like 'yesterday', we should spend the day not lynching anyone. It's almost as if 'today' was the first day, but people who can watch others' evening activities have more information than they would otherwise. The upcoming evening could possibly give the mafia a further advantage (in fact, it quite probably will), but we have nothing in our favour, no information (unless someone wants to share....?) and no role list (which would still be useless to us in our current situation). Statistically speaking, there is a probability that we'd get a mafia member, but there's a higher chance of us not (based on the fact that there are less than 7 mafia members). We don't want the mafia to have a greater advantage than that which they would have already.

Also, just something I worked out
Probability of beneficiary from the last evening: [(Number of town members)]/7
Probability of mafia beneficiary from the last evening: (Number mafia members)/16

This is just based on the giant potential role list in the first post. Without the role list, making strategies is harder as we don't know how many mafia members there are (yeah, role list's definitely a good thing). But regardless of the number of mafia members (since we know that at the present there are more of us than mafia members) we still benefitted from last night. It would be awesome if we know what was discovered.


tldr (for lazy people): We probably got an advantage 'last night', but I say get the day over with, so the evening can be finished, so that we can start the game properly. If you have information, let us know unless you have good reason not to.

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Mon Nov 08, 2010 2:22 am
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No, chances are we got "lucky" last night. Whoever they tried to kill was probably a Bulletproof or protected by Doctor or Bodyguard or something.

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Mon Nov 08, 2010 3:19 am
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Couldn't be a bodyguard, because there would've been a death.

I'll vote: role list as well.

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Mon Nov 08, 2010 9:43 am
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I'm about to keep up with the topic, since my internet went off for the weekend. Sorry I wasn't here.

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Mon Nov 08, 2010 5:09 pm
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1st vote:

Elipsiser - 1 (War P. Anda)
No Lynch - 5 (Elipsiser, Kyuubit, Genis Potter, Tid, Weavile)

Not Voting - 7 (DarkSonicTH, Believeblood, Nobody, JasonGuy299, Blitz, Dark Ermac, Brikmaethor)

With 13 alive, it takes 7 to lynch.


And a role list will be posted after the next kill, like planned. Kind of.

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Mon Nov 08, 2010 6:47 pm
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No lynch

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Mon Nov 08, 2010 7:30 pm
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maxmatsu wrote:
And a role list will be posted after the next kill, like planned. Kind of.

Well. I'm not exactly sure what to do with this. We either random lynch, which is likely to lead to a townie death, or we forgo a lynching once more and let the mafia kill someone so we can have a role-list. Since there must obviously be more townies than mafia, and we have no information to go on, I don't see lynching as a safe choice. Better one death than two.

Vote: No-lynch.

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Mon Nov 08, 2010 10:17 pm
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Sitting around like ducks so the mafia can kill us at night isn't good either.


Mon Nov 08, 2010 10:53 pm
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Believeblood wrote:
Sitting around like ducks so the mafia can kill us at night isn't good either.


Let's assume we guess completely randomly.

1/3rd of the group is mafia. Therefore we have a 1/3rd chance of it helping us, and a 2/3rds chance of just killing a townie. Therefore, we should not just randomly guess. What you're proposing is a retarded way to continue.

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Mon Nov 08, 2010 11:04 pm
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Nobody wrote:
Believeblood wrote:
Sitting around like ducks so the mafia can kill us at night isn't good either.


Let's assume we guess completely randomly.

1/3rd of the group is mafia. Therefore we have a 1/3rd chance of it helping us, and a 2/3rds chance of just killing a townie. Therefore, we should not just randomly guess. What you're proposing is a retarded way to continue.

I'm not proposing to lych. I just think it's a good idea to at least get some information out of people before seven people vote no-lych and we enter night time. I mean if things keep on going like this then no information will ever be revealed. Random voteing is actually one of the best ways to get information out of people even if we're not completely serious.


Mon Nov 08, 2010 11:13 pm
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COMMENCE WITH THE NIGHT!

No lynch

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Mon Nov 08, 2010 11:44 pm
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Believeblood wrote:
Nobody wrote:
Believeblood wrote:
Sitting around like ducks so the mafia can kill us at night isn't good either.


Let's assume we guess completely randomly.

1/3rd of the group is mafia. Therefore we have a 1/3rd chance of it helping us, and a 2/3rds chance of just killing a townie. Therefore, we should not just randomly guess. What you're proposing is a retarded way to continue.

I'm not proposing to lych. I just think it's a good idea to at least get some information out of people before seven people vote no-lych and we enter night time. I mean if things keep on going like this then no information will ever be revealed. Random voteing is actually one of the best ways to get information out of people even if we're not completely serious.


Why would any mafia be stupid enough to reveal anything if you've already stated outright your intentions to trick them?

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Mon Nov 08, 2010 11:53 pm
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Nobody wrote:
Believeblood wrote:
Nobody wrote:
Believeblood wrote:
Sitting around like ducks so the mafia can kill us at night isn't good either.


Let's assume we guess completely randomly.

1/3rd of the group is mafia. Therefore we have a 1/3rd chance of it helping us, and a 2/3rds chance of just killing a townie. Therefore, we should not just randomly guess. What you're proposing is a retarded way to continue.

I'm not proposing to lych. I just think it's a good idea to at least get some information out of people before seven people vote no-lych and we enter night time. I mean if things keep on going like this then no information will ever be revealed. Random voteing is actually one of the best ways to get information out of people even if we're not completely serious.


Why would any mafia be stupid enough to reveal anything if you've already stated outright your intentions to trick them?


He's obviously mafia because only evil people reveal all of their plans.

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Tue Nov 09, 2010 12:07 pm
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Or people with nothing to fear, or stupid people. I'm thinking about the fool.

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Tue Nov 09, 2010 3:46 pm
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Okay fine do whatever you want, but when the town loses don't blame me. ( unless your a mafia or third party player.)


Tue Nov 09, 2010 6:05 pm
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